16:20 Kempton – Old Guard (BEST ODDS 11/4 with betfair)
A line can be put through this horse’s last run as he was coming back from a long layoff. It was also amongst Group 3 company and he went off at an SP of 22/1, but even so he was only some three lengths off winning. He’s back down in trip and class today in a race that will definitely suit him. It won’t surprise me if he challenges for favouritism in this one. He should be suited by the ground as well, which is a big plus. His trainer has a 26% strike rate over the last two weeks and I’m really looking forward to seeing what this horse is capable of at this level.
A £20 total stake returns £75 with betfair
All prices correct at the time of posting.